Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 1.541868 1.750123 1.978354 2.247402 2.556358 2.900577 3.313901
2025-11-30 1.281213 1.566777 1.905691 2.339089 2.880758 3.538197 4.400882
2025-12-07 1.081554 1.405229 1.815224 2.376018 3.128328 4.109957 5.499726
2025-12-14 0.914264 1.249283 1.697384 2.346116 3.270478 4.554012 6.495278
2025-12-21 0.775037 1.105364 1.568176 2.271736 3.327981 4.876547 7.359138
2025-12-28 0.713689 1.058936 1.563923 2.367418 3.634444 5.590186 8.905078
2026-01-04 0.658489 1.012307 1.550257 2.442297 3.913385 6.293995 10.542400
2026-01-11 0.607244 0.964007 1.525854 2.493378 4.156045 6.966969 12.230265
2026-01-18 0.560016 0.915564 1.493871 2.525068 4.366216 7.608601 13.960414
2026-01-25 0.505633 0.848632 1.422876 2.479431 4.432166 8.001023 15.287376
2026-02-01 0.447728 0.769182 1.321389 2.366310 4.358484 8.123539 16.104763
2026-02-08 0.408300 0.717651 1.262658 2.322868 4.407302 8.480219 17.444570
2026-02-15 0.371606 0.668612 1.205609 2.280440 4.461954 8.874897 18.976950
2026-02-22 0.357743 0.660068 1.222175 2.382541 4.820655 9.943204 22.187991
2026-03-01 0.337522 0.637334 1.209316 2.424309 5.060785 10.799927 25.088400
2026-03-08 0.311457 0.600521 1.164994 2.395566 5.145449 11.328970 27.312072
2026-03-15 0.283390 0.556882 1.102413 2.320282 5.116236 11.594558 28.932585
2026-03-22 0.275074 0.552329 1.118899 2.418544 5.496073 12.877269 33.444537
2026-03-29 0.265248 0.543574 1.125513 2.495343 5.836458 14.119804 38.117289
2026-04-05 0.254022 0.530678 1.121784 2.547702 6.124987 15.279437 42.812877
2026-04-12 0.242079 0.515024 1.110301 2.580173 6.368371 16.362004 47.526085
2026-04-19 0.225273 0.487012 1.068278 2.533478 6.400971 16.884172 50.650985
2026-04-26 0.205169 0.449759 1.001554 2.417705 6.234648 16.829816 51.945313